Tuesday 14 April 2015

Big Push of Aid or No Thanks


By: Bikal Dhungel

It is not necessary to define Development Aid again, it has been defined in previous articles but before I graduate to the topic, I think it is useful to define some other terms. Aid has different forms. For example, when a donor country says, its giving a grant to a poor country, it can be either in the form of cash or any goods and the receiving country dont require to repay it. Loans however are different. In international development cooperation, we often hear about concessional loans. That means, loans with concession or discount. There will be a very low interest rate or no interest rate at all. Then there is a big term called ODA, Official Development Assistance which is also called 'Foreign Aid' in general. When you read about 'Foreign Aid' or 'Official Development Assistance', both mean the same. ODA can also be either bilateral or multilateral. Bilateral Aid means the cooperation between two countries. Like when the US gives aid to India, its bilateral. Multilateral Aid means the aid given by multi-lateral institution which belongs to many countries. For example the World Health Organisation, the United Nations, International Monetary Fund and the World Bank are multilateral institutions. When these institutions give aid, it is not given by one particular country but by the institution as a whole.

The story of Aid is big and the volume of aid is big too. In 2013, total ODA reached 135 billion US$. The biggest donors were the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, Japan and France. These five countries gave about 85 billion in total. In terms of percentage of GDP, Norway, Sweden, Luxembourg, Denmark and the United Kingdom top the list. Only these countries have fulfilled the MDG where they promised to give at least 0.7% of their GDP as aid. On the receivers list, the top 10 receivers are Agfhanistan, Democratic Republic of Congo, Vietnam, Ethiopia, Pakistan, Tanzania, India, Turkey, Palestine and Kenya. One can easily notice from this list that top aid receivers are not really the poorest. Turkey is not poor, it has a per capita income of $20,000 based on Purchasing Power Parity. India is poor but it has launched a satellite to space recently worth 7 billion dollars. 

Aid is given for many reason, it can be political, economical, strategical or cultural. Evidence shows that, political reasons are the strongest. Countries give aid to maintain political influence which might be necessary for themselves. It can be for economical, for example to support certain firms or sectors. China is a famous example of economic aid. When it gives aid to neighbouring countries to build highways, the contractor should be a Chinese firm, even Chinese workers go there and work and even the raw materials will be exported from China. By this way, it also helped the donor. Sometimes it is also to extract resources from a particular sector. Congo is rich in resources but there are no good infrastructure to extract the resources. So, China builds a road to a rural area so that resources can be taken from there to elsewhere. Finally, the aim of Aid is to reduce poverty. Of course not all countries are interested in reducing poverty. There are many motivations behind, which is often not easy to know. As a consequence, aid has failed to impact positively in most countries. This means, aid did not reduce poverty or contributed to economic development. In some cases, it fueled more corruption. Therefore, there are two groups of experts who are outspoken critics of aid, and a big supports. Both groups have published large number of scholarly journals and books.

When we come to the original meaning of Development Aid, to contribute to the economic development of under developed countries. Diplomatically, they are called developing countries today, even though they are not actually developing. Aid has worked in some places and in others, it has been a catastrophe. It has worked in countries that followed good economic policy and where there is an accountable government. Where there is political instability, armed conflict, vulnerable economic situation, and bad governance indicators, aid effectiveness is lower. Let us consider that aid will be implemented well. But then, will it generate growth ? Is it enough to change a country economically ? The answer is short, No. Aid will not bring big changes even there is 100% effectiveness. Aid consist of less than 1% of receivers GDP in most cases. This will barely bring any change. A country that is lagging behind in health, education, infrastructure etc, pouring aid in small projects or in one sector alone will fail to bring big change. The aid will simply disappear, it will be a drop in an ocean. If we want to bring change, aid is required in all sectors, especially in health, education and infrastructure. This should be at least for two decades because the ones who get support will be pushed back to poverty once the funding ends. To put them in a situation to generate income, they need support until they are able to use their human capital to generate income. The major problem of developing countries today are: 1) the healthcare system is underfunded, so, the health of nation is poor. With poor health and sickness, people cannot use their labour and talents in full potential. 2) The education system is underfunded or inefficient, both in terms of quality teaching and the lack of proper infrastructure. 3) the infra-structure is too poor. Situation in rural areas are more worse. As the largest portion of people live in rural areas, lack of infrastructure hit them hard. Hence, support is needed in all three sectors and not in a single one. 


We often see that a certain aid organisation is building one school in a rural setting. This sounds good but again the sustainability is the question. Is it enough ? With school building alone, without qualified teacher , will it be able to reduce poverty ? The answer is no. There are other stories we hear about a donor giving money to poor people in a poor place but in reality, such things help very little. If the goal is to bring people out of poverty trap and help them to live a quality life for longer term, such aid should be there for a long time. Aid should not only build one school but first provide people enough calory, then help them get education until the intermediate level, then there should be healthcare facilities and infrastructure which should help them to be entrepreneurs. Only then it will be sustainable. If the funding comes from aid, this aid should be there for a long time. Superstars like the U2 singer Bono, Angelina Jolie and prominent economists like Jeffrey Sachs are all right in their argument. Small amount of aid will not help much. Small aid is there since four decades but it has failed to generate any results in poorest countries. So, even experiments are being done by Jeffrey Sachs in his so called Millennium Villages where they give aid to people in every aspects. Either it will work or not, time will show but it makes sense. Even if it fails to bring change in a macro scale, a limited number of people will be helped efficiently. This argument is made from the side of receiving countries. But the donor is not a single country or organisation. They are wide range of countries, with different motives of aid, with different political and economical views and to coordinate aid is everything but simple. However, if there is a better coordination, they can concentrate on particular countries or regions in a year and first finish the job there before moving to other regions. This might not be easy in practice but if aid is failing to bring any change anyway, why cant it be a good thing to try ? Before they pour other hundreds of billions in poor countries, there should be a Plan B to make aid really work. So, A big push of aid can be a viable option.  

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